72 million Americans including 875,000 Oregonians to travel for fireworks and fun

Updated July 4, 2025

PORTLAND, Ore., – AAA expects record-breaking travel for the 4th of July holiday, with 72.2 million Americans (21.1 % of the population) going 50 miles or more from home over the Independence Day holiday travel period. This is an increase of 1.7 million travelers (2.4%) compared to last year and 7 million more (10.7%) from 2019.

In Oregon, about 875,000 will travel for the 4th of July. The Independence Day holiday travel period is defined as Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

The number of Americans traveling by car and air over the holiday are expected to break records. AAA projects 61.6 million people including 686,000 Oregonians will travel by car over Independence Day week. For air travel, AAA projects 5.84 million Americans including 124,000 Oregonians will fly to their destinations. Find more details and tips for travelers below.

“It’s shaping up to be a very busy summer travel season, and the July 4th holiday is one of the most popular times of the year for a trip. With the holiday falling on a Friday this year, travelers can enjoy a long weekend or take the entire week off to take to the roads, skies and seas to celebrate,” says Doreen Loofburrow, Senior Vice President of Travel at AAA Oregon/Idaho.

“Despite concerns about the economy, consumers are making travel a priority. Road trips are the most popular way to travel for Independence Day, and going by car is often cheaper and more flexible than going by other modes,” says Marie Dodds, public affairs director for AAA Oregon/Idaho.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025
Independence Day travel forecast 2025

Top Independence Day Destinations

AAA booking data reveals that theme parks, beaches, and cruise gateway cities are the most popular based on searches and bookings by members of AAA Oregon/Idaho.

Anaheim is the top domestic destination as Independence Day travelers head to theme parks. Seattle and Vancouver, B.C. rank high because of the popularity of Alaska cruises this time of year. European cities dominate the list of international destinations.

In Oregon, Central Oregon and the Oregon Coast are popular destinations. Both areas have two cities in the list of the top 10 most popular regional destinations.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

Road trips to set new record

AAA expects car travel to set a record this 4th of July as 61.6 million Americans (85.3% of travelers) drive to their destinations. This is up 2.2% and an increase of 1.3 million car travelers over last year, and also surpasses 2019 when 55.3 million took a holiday road trip.

In Oregon, more than 686,000 will drive to their Independence Day destinations.

“The good old American road trip is the most popular way to travel for the 4th of July. Car travel is the preferred mode because it’s usually the most economical way to go, especially for families,” says Dodds.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

AAA digital resources can help plan your trip

AAA offers an entire library of digital resources to make your trip more enjoyable and it’s all available in one convenient spot at AAA.com/TripCanvas.  For example, pack up the car and take a road trip to one of the 10 Best National Parks to Visit in the Summer. Still debating where to take the kids this summer? Check out 17 Best Vacation Spots for Families. Missed the boat this summer? Start planning now for your Alaska cruise next year! Here are the 9 Best Alaska Cruises for Every Traveler.

If you are looking for maps, visit AAA.com/maps. With the AAA mobile app, you can request emergency road service, book a last-minute hotel, and even find the cheapest fuel and closest EV charging stations along the way. Download it at AAA.com/mobile or visit the App Store or Google Play.

Record number of air travelers expected

AAA projects 5.84 million Americans will take to the skies for Independence Day. This is up 1.4% from last year and a 14.2% increase over 2019. In all, about 8% of all travelers will fly to their holiday destinations.

In Oregon, more than 124,000 will fly to their Independence Day destinations.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

Jump in other modes of travel

Travel by other modes including cruises, buses and trains will rise by 7.4% from 2024, with nearly 4.78 million people (6.6% of all travelers). This year’s number is just shy of 4.79 million in 2019.

Cruising is driving the popularity of this category. This time of year, the Alaska cruise season is in full swing, making Seattle and Vancouver B.C. top destinations.

Approximately 64,000 Oregonians will travel by other modes.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

Tips for those flying this Independence Day:

  • Check your airline’s website or download their app to keep up to date on your flight status, including checking one last time right before you leave for the airport. Allow push notifications so the airline can alert you of any changes.
  • Check-in online for flights 24 hours ahead
  • Arrive at the airport at least two hours early for domestic flights and three hours for international. Expect long security lines due to the spike in travelers.
  • Airport parking lots will likely be at or near capacity. Many airports including Portland International airport let you check current availability https://www.flypdx.com/Parking.  Some parking facilities let you book in advance. 
  • Consider taking transit, using a ride sharing service or taxi, or getting a ride with a friend or family member to the airport so you don’t have to park onsite.
  • Carry your bags on your flight instead of checking them. If you do need to check bags, bring medications, a change of clothes, comfortable shoes, and any other necessary items with you on the flight. That way you’ll have provisions if your checked bags get lost or delayed. Make sure your bags have name tags, and also put your name and contact info inside each bag. Consider using a luggage tracker.
  • Bring a refillable water bottle and plan ahead for meals and snacks. Airport restaurants can be very busy with long lines at times, making it challenging to order food if you have a short connection time. Many airlines allow you to pre-order food up to 24 hours before your flight. The TSA allows solid foods through screening but liquids or gels (such as yogurt) must comply with the 3-1-1 liquids rule.
  • Consider booking a flight during non-peak travel periods to cut down on wait times. In general, early morning flights tend to have fewer delays and cancellations than flights later in the day.
  • Sign up for TSA PreCheck, Global Entry and/or CLEAR before your trip to expedite the security screening process. However, even these check-in lanes will be busier than usual. And confirm that the airports you use offer CLEAR as it’s not available at all airports.

REAL ID:

TSA began enforcing REAL ID requirements on May 7. Passengers are required to have a REAL ID to board domestic flights. These are REAL ID-compliant driver’s licenses or other state photo ID cards.

Acceptable alternatives to a REAL ID include:

  • A U.S. passport or passport card
  • Any government-issued passport
  • DHS Trusted Traveler cards, including Global Entry and SENTRI
  • U.S. military IDs (active duty, retired, and dependent)

Air travelers who don’t have a REAL ID may still be able to fly but must go through additional screening so plan on lots of extra time. The TSA officer may ask you to complete an identity verification process which includes collecting information such as your name and current address to confirm your identity. If your identity is confirmed, you will be allowed to enter the screening checkpoint, where you may be subject to additional screening.

Find out more about REAL ID on the TSA’s website.

Best and worst times to drive

AAA has partnered with INRIX, a global provider of transportation data and insights, to determine the best and worst times to drive over the Independence Day holiday period.  

The most congested times to drive are Wednesday, July 2 as folks head to their destinations, and Sunday, July 6 as travelers return home. Afternoon and evening hours will be the most congested, especially in urban areas where travelers mix with commuters. Drivers should hit the road in the morning to avoid the worst traffic, but keep in mind construction, crashes, or severe weather could impact travel times. Watch for stopped vehicles and Slow Down, Move Over for emergency responders.

“Use traffic apps, local traffic reports on the radio, and 511 services to get the latest info on congestion. But with a record number of car travelers expected over the Independence Day holiday, plan on extra time to reach your destination,” says Dodds.

Here are the daily worst and best times to travel:

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

Here are projected travel times out of Portland from INRIX:

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

Airfare, hotel, rental car, cruise and tour costs  

Air—AAA finds that travelers are paying more for domestic flights and less for international flights for Independence Day travel.

  • Domestic flights are 4% more expensive this Independence Day period compared to last year.
  • Average price for a domestic roundtrip flight is $810.
  • International flights are 4% cheaper this Independence Day period compared to last year.
  • Average price for an international roundtrip ticket is $1,365.

Hotels—AAA finds domestic hotel prices are less expensive and international more expensive compared to 2024.

  • Domestic hotels are 11% cheaper this Independence Day period compared to last year.
  • Average booking cost for a domestic hotel stay (which is typically a few nights) is $590. That’s the average price of domestic hotel bookings through AAA – not a nightly rate.
  • International hotels are 8% more expensive this Independence Day period compared to last year.
  • Average booking cost for an international hotel stay (which is typically a few nights) is $785. That’s the average price of international hotel bookings through AAA – not a nightly rate.

Car Rentals—AAA finds that renting a car costs less this year.

  • Domestic car rentals are 2% cheaper this Independence Day period compared to last year.
  • Average booking cost for a rental car (which is typically several days) is $670 total – not the daily rate.
  • International car rentals are 8% cheaper this Independence Day period compared to last year.
  • Average booking cost for a rental (which is typically several days) is $865 – not the daily rate.

Cruises—AAA finds that cruises are more expensive this year

  • Cruises departing from domestic cities are 40% more expensive this Independence Day period.
  • Average cost for cruises departing from domestic cities is $2,065.
  • Cruises departing from international cities are 4% more expensive this Independence Day period.
  • Average cost for cruises departing from international cities is $2,865.

Tours—AAA finds tours are more expensive this year

  • Tour prices in domestic cities are 30% more expensive this Independence Day period.
  • Average cost for a domestic tour is $1,435.
  • Tours in international cities are 19% more expensive this Independence Day period.
  • Average cost for an international tour is $1,975.

Gas prices lower than or similar to last year, depending on region

Drivers in some parts of the country are paying less for gas this year compared to Independence Day 2024, while drivers in Oregon are paying about the same as last year. All U.S. drivers are getting a big break at the pumps compared to 2022 when prices were at record highs for the holiday.

The national average is currently $3.15 and the Oregon average is $4.03 (as of July 4, 2025). Find current gas prices at https://gasprices.aaa.com/

Factor that will impact pump prices include unrest in the Middle East, the war between Russia and Ukraine, other geo-political events, the U.S. and global economies, and storms. Weather is a wild card – storms and hurricanes can impact crude oil and gas prices, especially storms in the U.S. Gulf Coast.

For local news releases on gas prices, visit https://info.oregon.aaa.com/oregon-gas-prices/

Use the AAA Mobile App (AAA.com/mobile) to help you find the least expensive gas in your area. You can also find the closest EV charging stations.

Find fuel saving tips here.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

AAA to the rescue this Independence Day

AAA is ready to help drivers throughout the 4th of July travel period. The most common issues are dead batteries, flat tires, and lockouts. Last year over the holiday period, AAA responded to more than 700,000 requests for roadside assistance nationally, and 7,000 here in Oregon.

AAA makes it easy to request assistance—by phone or text (1-800-AAA-HELP), app or online—and members can track the service technician’s progress as they make their way to your vehicle.

Make sure your car is road-trip ready. Have your vehicle inspected by a trusted repair shop, such as one of the more than 7,000 AAA Approved Auto Repair facilities across North America.

Be prepared for emergencies with a mobile phone and car charger, and well-stocked emergency kit including a flashlight with extra batteries, first-aid kit, a basic toolkit, jackets and blankets, and drinking water and snacks for all passengers and pets. Share your itinerary with family or friends so that authorities know where to start looking for you if you don’t reach your destination.

“Bring enough provisions so that you and your passengers can be comfortable if you get stuck somewhere for a long period of time, even overnight,” says Dodds. “A wreck or a wildfire can cause significant traffic jams, and you don’t always have cell phone service in remote areas.”

Find more info on getting road-trip ready at AAA.com/summerprep

AAA Travel Advice

“With AAA projecting record travel for Independence Day, it’s important that travelers plan ahead and be flexible. Use your AAA membership to find discounts and rewards, work with a travel agent, and consider travel insurance as well as medical travel insurance,” says Loofburrow.

AAA recommends working with a travel agent and considering travel insurance options. “Travel agents are experts. They know the ins and outs of where you’re going, and can make recommendations that will get you the best trip for your travel dollars. And if something goes wrong—from a flight cancellation to a medical emergency—or you need to make last-minute changes, your travel agent becomes your advocate and can offer help and advice,” says Loofburrow. “And travel agents can often get you special offers and rates that aren’t always available to the general public.”

AAA strongly recommends travel insurance to cover unexpected delays or trip interruptions. Travel insurance provides a safety net should something unexpected happen ahead of or during your trip. You may also want to consider medial travel insurance, especially if you’re traveling out of the U.S. Medical travel insurance can provide coverage for illness and injuries and that may not be included in your regular health insurance plan. Travel agents can also advise on what coverage makes the most sense for your trip.

Visit AAA.com/travel or call (800) 529-3222 to reach a AAA travel agent.

Forecast methodology

In cooperation with AAA, S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI) developed a unique methodology to forecast actual domestic travel volumes. The economic variables used to forecast travel for the current holiday are leveraged from SPGMI’s proprietary databases. These data include macroeconomic drivers such as employment, output, household net worth, asset prices including stock indices, interest rates, housing market indicators, and variables related to travel and tourism, including gasoline prices, airline travel, and hotel stays. AAA and SPGMI have quantified holiday travel volumes going back to 2000.

Historical travel volume estimates come from MMGY’s TRAVEL PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM. The PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM is a comprehensive study measuring the travel behavior of U.S. residents. MMGY contacts over 50,000 U.S. households each month to obtain detailed travel data, resulting in the unique ability to estimate visitor volume and spending, identify trends, forecast U.S. travel behavior and position brand, all after the trips have been taken.

The travel forecast is reported in person-trips. In particular, AAA and SPGMI forecast the total U.S. holiday travel volume and expected mode of transportation. The travel forecast presented in this report was prepared the week of May 19, 2025.

Because AAA holiday forecasts focus on domestic leisure travel only, comparisons to TSA passenger screening numbers should not be made. TSA data includes all passengers traveling on both domestic and international routes, whether traveling for work or leisure. Additionally, TSA screens passengers each time they enter secured areas of the airport, therefore each one-way trip is counted as a passenger tally. AAA focuses on person-trips, which include the full round-trip travel itinerary. As a result, direct comparisons of AAA forecast volumes and daily TSA screenings represent different factors.

*Independence Day Holiday Travel Period

The Independence Day holiday travel period is defined as the nine-day period from Saturday, June 28 to Sunday, July 6. Historically, this holiday period included only one weekend. The expanded travel window was instituted starting in 2024 with historical results calculated back to 2019 using the nine-day period.

Independence Day travel forecast 2025

Find current fuel prices at GasPrices.AAA.com.

AAA news releases, high resolution images, broadcast-quality video, fact sheets and podcasts are available on the AAA NewsRoom at NewsRoom.AAA.com.

Find local news releases at https://oregon.aaa.com/community/media/media-contacts.html

Fuel prices are updated daily at AAA’s Daily Fuel Gauge at AAA Gas Prices. For more info go www.AAA.com.  AAA Oregon/Idaho provides more than 910,000 members with travel, insurance, financial and automotive-related services, and is an affiliate of AAA National, serving more than 65 million members in North America.